Main Article Content
Abstract
New growth theories underscore the significance of research and development (R&D) as a
catalyst for long-term economic growth, making investment in R&D a crucial component
of macroeconomic planning for nations. This study examined the effects of R&D
expenditures on the economic growth of G8 countries spanning from 1999 to 2019,
employing pooled, fixed-effect, and random-effect panel models. Various tests, including
Chow, Breusch-Pagan, Hausman, Wooldridge, Pasaran, and White tests, are conducted to
select the final model and assess its reliability. Findings reveal a significant positive impact
of R&D expenditures on the economic growth of G8 countries, with a one percent increase
in R&D spending associated with a 0.523% rise in economic growth. Overall, the model is
deemed acceptable, explaining 91.6% of variations in the economic growth of G8 countries.
Keywords
Article Details
Copyright (c) 2025 Journal of Social Sciences - Kabul University

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
References
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References
1. پیش بهار، اسماعیل. (1397). اقتصادسنجی جلد دوم همراه با کاربرد نرم افزارهای ویژه اقتصادسنجی. تهران. نشر نور علم.
2. حسن زاده، علی و حیدری،حسن. (۱۳۸۰). بررسی نقش مخارج R&D در نرخ رشد اقتصادی. پژوهش های ایران (۸) ۷۸-۵۹.
3. دهقانی، علی. خردمند، کامران. عبدی، محمد.(۱۳۸۶). اثر بخشی هزینه های تحقیق و توسعه (بررسی موردی تعاونی های تولیدی استان خراسان رضوی و صنایع ایران).
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6. کمیجانی، اکبر و معمارنژاد، عباس. (۱۳۸۳). اهمیت کیفیت نیروی انسانی و R&D در رشد اقتصادی ایران. پژوهشنامه بازرگانی(۳۱)۳۱-۱.
7. مجیب، ژاله. (۱۳۶۸). اهمیت تحقیقات در تولید ناخالص ملی و بررسی مشکلات و ارایه راه حل مناسب. مجموعه مقالات سمینار تحقیق و توسعه، تهران، سازمان پژوهش های علمی و صنعتی ایران.
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10. Aghion, P., Howitt, P. (1992). A Model of Growth Through Creative Destruction. Econometrica, 60(2), 323-351.
11. Akcali, B. Y., & Sismanoglu, E. (2015). Innovation and the effect of research and development (R&D) expenditure on growth in some developing and developed countries. Procedia-Social and Behavioral Sciences, 195, 768-775.
12. Arond, E., & Bell, M. (2009). Trends in the Global Distribution of R&D since the 1970s: Data, their Interpretation and Limitations.
13. Arond, E., Bell, M. (2010). Trends in the Global Distribution. STEPS Working Paper (39).
14. Baltagi, B. H. (2010). Econometric Analysis of Panel Data. JohnWiley & Sons, Ltd, Sussex, 4th edition. west edition.
15. Barro, R.; Sala-i-Martin, X. (2004). Economic Growth, Second Edition, London, England: The MIT Press.
16. Bernard, Corinne Autant. (2001). Economics of Innovation and New Technology 10 (4), 237-254.
17. Bilbao-Osorio, B. & Rodriguez-Peso, A. (2004). From R&D to innovation and economic growth in the EU.
18. Bor, Y. J., Chuang, Y.-C.; Lai, W.-W.; Yang, C.-M. (2010). A Dynamic General Equilibrium Model for Public R&D İnvestment İn Taiwan. Economic Modelling, 27(1), 171-183.
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20. Chow, Gregory C. (1960). Tests of Equality Between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions. Econometrica, 28 (3): 591–605.
21. Freimane, R., & Bāliņa, S. (2016). Research and development expenditures and economic growth in the EU: A panel data analysis. Economics and Business, 29(1), 5-11.
22. Gabsi, S., & Chkir, A. (2012). Research and Development (R&D) spillovers and economic growth: Empirical validation in the case of developing countries. Journal of Economics and International Finance, 4(5), 107.
23. Gaillard, J. (2010). Measuring research and development in developing countries: main characteristics and implications for the Frascati manual. Science, Technology and Society, 15(1), 77-111.
24. Gereffi, G. (2019). Global value chains and international development policy: Bringing firms, networks and policy-engaged scholarship back in. Journal of International Business Policy, International Business Policy, 195-210.
25. Godin, B.; Lane, J. (2012), “A Century of Talks on Research: What Happened to Development and Production?”, Int. J. Transitions and Innovation Systems, 2(1), 5-13.
26. Goel, R.; Ram, R. (1994). Research and Development Expenditures and Economic Growth: A Cross-Country Study. Economic Development and Cultural Change, 42(2), 403-411.
27. Greene, W. (2000). Econometric Analysis. Prentice Hall, Inc, 4th edition.
28. Grossman, G.; Helpman, E. (1991). Innovation and Growth in the Global Economy, London: The MIT Press.
29. Grossman, G.; Helpman, E. (1994). Endogenous Innovation in the Theory of Growth. The Journal of Economic Perspectives, 8(1), 23-44.
30. Gujarati, D. (2004). Basic Econometrics. The McGraw-Hill Companies, New York, 4th edition.
31. Gujarati, D. and P, D. C. (2010). Dasar-dasar Ekonometrika Edisi 5. Salemba Empat, Jakarta.
32. Hall, B. (2006). Research and Development. International Encyclopedia of the Social Sciences. https://eml.berkeley.edu/~bhhall/papers/BHH06_IESS_R&D.pdf
33. Hasan, I., & Tucci, C. L. (2010). The innovation–economic growth nexus: Global evidence. Research policy, 39(10), 1264-1276.
34. Hausman, J. (2015). Specification tests in econometrics. Applied Econometrics, 38(2), 112-134.
35. Hausman, J. A. (1978). Specification tests in econometrics. Econometrica: Journal of the econometric society, 1251-1271.
36. Hoechle, D. (2007). Robust standard errors for panel regressions with cross-sectional dependence. The stata journal, 7(3), 281-312.
37. Huang, E., And Lin, S.C. (2006). How R&D Management Practice Affects Innovation Performance. Industrial Management & Data Systems, 106 (7), 966-996.
38. Iftikhar, S., & Ali, M. (2016). Gross Domestic Capital Formation, Exports and Economic Growth. Journal of Economics and Sustainable Development. (7), 13, 44-48.
39. Ildırar, M., Özmen, M., & İşcan, E. (2016). The Effect of Research and Development Expenditures on Economic Growth: New Evidences. International Conference on Eurasian Economies 2016, 36–43. https://doi.org/10.36880/C07.01776
40. Jauhari, Achmad & Suprapto, Yoyon & Mauludiyanto, Achmad. (2019). Data Panel Modelling with Fixed Effect Model (FEM) Approach to Analyze the Influencing Factors of DHF in Pasuruan Regency.224-232.
41. Jones, C. I. (1995). R & D-based models of economic growth. Journal of political Economy, 103(4), 759-784.
42. Kadir, A. A., Afriana, W., & Azis, H. A. (2019). The Effect Of R_D Expenditures On Export And Economic Growth. Econder International Academic Journal, 3(2), 203–220. https://doi.org/10.35342/econder.665074
43. Khoirudin, R. (2023, March). The Role Of Research And Development (R&D) On Gross Domestics Products (GDP) (Case Study USA, China, Japan, Germany and UK). In Journal of International Conference Proceedings (JICP) (Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 1-13).
44. Kim J. H. (2019). Multicollinearity and misleading statistical results. Korean journal of anesthesiology, 72(6), 558–569. https://doi.org/10.4097/kja.19
45. Li, P. (2010), “Study on Relationship between R&D Expenditure and Economic Growth of China”, Proceedings of the 7th International Conference on Innovation & Management, 1725-1728.
46. Lucas, R.E. (1988), “On the Mechanics of Economic Development”, Journal of Monetary Economics, 22, 3-42.
47. Magazzino, C., & Mele, M. (2022). Can a change in FDI accelerate GDP growth? Time-series and ANNs evidence on Malta. Journal of Economic Asymmetries, 25. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.JECA.2022.E00243
48. Mattalia, C. (2012). Human capital accumulation in R&D-based growth models. Economic Modelling, 29(3), 601–609. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ECONMOD.2011.12.018.
49. Nihal, G., Mounia, C., Hussain, M., Humayun, S., Perveen, N., Yousaf, N. R., & Akhtar, S. (2023). impact of innovation on economic growth of G8 countries-analysis over 1996-2020. International Journal of Professional Business Review, 8(5), e01413-e01413.
50. OECD. (2017). OECD Science, Technology and Industry Scoreboard 2017: The digital transformation. Paris: OECD Publishing. htt p s:// dx.doi.org/10.1787/9789264268821-en.
51. Pesaran, M. (2004). General Diagnostic Tests for Cross Section Dependence in Panels. IZA Dİscussion Paper, 1240.
52. Pop Silaghi, M. I., Alexa, D., Jude, C., & Litan, C. (2014). Do business and public sector research and development expenditures contribute to economic growth in Central and Eastern European Countries? A dynamic panel estimation. Economic Modelling, 36, 108–119. https://doi.org/10.1016/J.ECONMOD.2013.08.035
53. Romer, P. M. (1986). Increasing returns and long-run growth. Journal of political economy, 94(5), 1002-1037.
54. Romer, P. M. (1990). Endogenous technological change. Journal of political Economy, 98(5, Part 2), S71-S102.
55. Shahabadi, A., Sohrabi Vafa, H., & Salmani, Y. (2016). Role of Research and Development (R&D) Activitis and Physical Stock on Economic Growth: Evidence from Iran, Turkey and Malaysia. Economic Growth and Development Research, 6(23), 88-75.
56. Shahabadi, Abolfazl, Hosein Sohrabi Vafa, and Younes Salmani. (2016). Role of R&D Activitis and Physical Stock on Economic Growth: Evidence from Iran, Turkey and Malaysia. Economic Growth and Development Research 6, no.23 (2016): 88-75. [In Persian]
57. Solow, R. M. (1956). A contribution to the theory of economic growth. The quarterly journal of economics, 70(1), 65-94.
58. Surani, S., Gendron, W., & Maredia, S. (2017). The economic impact of research and development. Econometrics, 3161, 1-20.
59. Susanto, J., Khoirudin, R., Ningsih, S.K. & Lubis, F.R.A. (2023). The Role of Research And Development (R&D) On Gross Domestic Products (GDP) (Case Study USA, China, Japan, Germany and UK). Journal of International Conference Proceedings, 6(1), 1-13. https://doi.org/10.32535/jicp.v6i1.2223
60. Sutikno, B., F.k, A., and D, O. (2017). Penerapan regresi panel data komponen satu arah untuk menentukan faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi indeks pembangunan manusia jurnal matematika integratif unpad.
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